
If you've ever wondered like I have how exactly arson investigators do their job (such as determining if a wildfire was started intentionally), read this New Yorker article by David Grann. He makes a good argument against the death penalty, which is that "experts" can wildly overestimate how much they know, a dangerous tendency in life-or-death decisionmaking. Incidentally I'm currently reading Nassem Taleb's The Black Swan, which argues in part that experts consistently overestimate their knowledge of specific subjects.
let me know what you think of the Black Swan!
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